Many founders think valuation is ARR × a multiple. That’s too simple.
The actual formula looks more like:
EBITDA × (what lifts the value, minus what drags it down) = Valuation.
EBITDA is the foundation. The multiple on EBITDA rises with things like growth, retention, pricing, and how strongly you stand in the market. And it falls with things like unreliable data and missing systems. It’s usually the latter that surprise founders.